Here an excellent analysis of how Hurricane Sandy may become the East Coast early next week. Dr. Jeff Master WunderBlog Post:
Hurricane Sandy plowed through the Bahama Islands as a powerful Category 2 hurricane with 105 mph winds yesterday, but high wind shear has destroyed the hurricane eyewall and reduced Sandy to Category 1 strength, with 80 mph winds. Satellite loops show that the low level center of Sandy is now exposed to view, with most of the storm heavy thunderstorm activity pushed to the north side by strong upper level winds from the south southwest. Cuban state media is reporting that eleven people were killed on Cuba,
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Wind shear is expected to remain a high 30 55 knots for the next four days,
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The latest set of 00Z (8 pm EDT) and 06Z (2 am EDT) computer model runs still have wide differences in the timing and landfall location for Sandy. The ECMWF has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy,
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Figure 2. Predicted 5 day precipitation total for Hurricane Sandy as forecast by the 2 am EDT October 26, 2012 run of the HWRF model. A wide swath of 8 16 of rain (dark yellow colors) is predicted for North Carolina,
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Figure 3. Using the predicted precipitation,
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Low Price Roshe Run Nike, Inc. Sandy should bring sustained winds of 50 60 mph with gusts over hurricane force to a large section of coast, and the storm may be moving slowly enough that these conditions will persist for a full 24 hours. With most of the trees still in leaf,
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